State of the Insurance Market Report

2025 Initial Outlook and 2024 Wrap-Up

Surety

Arrow-in-Circle-100-100-Blue-Left

The surety market has long been closely linked with the construction industry, where it plays a crucial role in ensuring that contractors complete their projects according to the contract. However, as economic pressures and financial conditions shift, surety bonds are becoming increasingly important across various industries beyond construction.

These sectors include healthcare, renewable energy, transportation, and technology, among others. As financial strain continues due to supply chain disruptions, labor challenges, rising interest rates, and tightened bank credit, these sectors are experiencing heightened demand for surety products to protect against potential performance failures and financial risks.

Market Conditions

The publicly funded construction market remains strong, buoyed by infrastructure spending at both the federal and local levels. However, there has been a notable uptick in loss activity across the surety market, largely driven by an increase in project delays, cost overruns, and labor shortages, which have hampered contractor performance. Rising material prices and extended lead times have also pressured margins and increased the potential for defaults. Nevertheless, the market remains stable, supported by sufficient reinsurance capacity, albeit decreasing, and new entrants in the surety space, which have helped maintain competition and keep rates from spiking sharply.

In the healthcare sector, we are witnessing an expansion of surety bonds tied to Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs). ACO bonds are becoming more critical as healthcare systems consolidate and assume more financial risk. These bonds guarantee organizations will meet performance and financial targets related to patient care and cost savings, helping mitigate risk for insurers and other stakeholders in an increasingly regulated and performance-driven healthcare landscape.

The renewable energy sector is another area where surety bonds are gaining traction. With government initiatives and private investments pouring into solar, wind, and other renewable projects, developers and investors are seeking surety bonds to guarantee performance and protect against default. These projects often involve complex regulatory frameworks and extended timelines, where financial or operational setbacks can have significant consequences. Surety bonds offer a means to safeguard against these risks and ensure that projects move forward, even in the face of economic or logistical challenges.

Other Key Industries

Aside from construction, healthcare, and renewable energy, surety bonds are becoming more prevalent in several other industries, including:

  • Technology: The tech industry increasingly relies on performance bonds to mitigate risk in large-scale software development or IT infrastructure projects. As contracts grow in complexity and scope, so does the need for security that ensures timely project completion.
  • Transportation and Logistics: Surety bonds are playing a larger role in transportation, where they help ensure compliance with government regulations for infrastructure projects, especially as the U.S. pushes for improvements in public transportation systems and the modernization of highways, bridges, and railroads.
  • Waste Management and Environmental Services: Regulatory compliance bonds in waste management are critical for ensuring that companies adhere to environmental laws and regulations. Given the heightened public scrutiny on sustainability, these bonds help protect against the financial and environmental risks associated with non-compliance.
Surety Rate Forecast
Contract Surety Bonds:   Flat
Commercial Surety Bonds:   Flat to +2%

Recommendations

Checkmark-2024-SOTM

With the current market challenges in mind, companies must adopt a proactive approach to surety bonding.
Regardless of the industry, businesses should engage with knowledgeable surety advisors who understand the intricacies of both the industry in which they operate and the broader market conditions affecting their specific bond needs. This approach can help companies navigate the complexities of contract terms, regulatory requirements, and financial risk management.

Checkmark-2024-SOTM

For contractors, having a team of seasoned professionals — CPAs, financial advisors, and attorneys with industry-specific expertise — can be critical to maintaining solid financials and contracts.
This ensures that when economic challenges arise, companies are well-positioned to withstand them without falling into default or breach of contract.

Checkmark-2024-SOTM

Companies should also remain selective in the projects they pursue, whether in construction, renewable energy, or other industries.
The key is to focus on core competencies and avoid projects outside their expertise that may carry higher risks. Businesses should also prioritize geographies where they have proven track records of success and operational efficiency, which can help mitigate some of the unpredictability associated with new or unfamiliar markets.

Checkmark-2024-SOTM

In the construction sector and beyond, companies must also be mindful of the labor challenges that continue to plague many industries.
Establishing training programs to develop skilled labor from within can provide a steady talent pipeline, while partnerships with national organizations such as the Associated Builders and Contractors (ABC) or the Associated General Contractors of America (AGC) can offer access to broader talent pools.

Checkmark-2024-SOTM

Finally, it’s essential to prepare for a potential market downturn.
While there are no guarantees, companies that are financially stable and have access to surety credit may find opportunities to grow or consolidate their positions when others are unable to perform. This type of foresight can prove to be a competitive advantage, allowing companies to thrive even in adverse conditions.

Surety-Recommendations-SOTM-2024
Surety-Callout-SOTM-2024

Connect with our
Surety Practice

Three-Person-Business-Meeting-1250

The Risk Strategies bond team has the specialty industry experience, expertise, and relationships needed to help you get the most from your surety program.

Find out how we can help >>

When you need a surety bond to guarantee a contract or a regulatory obligation, you need a partner you can trust.

Learn More

Explore the Report

Industries

Insurance experts in our industry specialty practices work with our clients and are in the market placing insurance coverage every day. Review their outlook for your industry.

Business Insurance

The experts that support key business product lines across our organization are in the market placing insurance coverage every day. Take a look at their observations on the insurance landscape.

Explore More

Browse other areas within our State of the Insurance Market Report.

Download the Report

Our industry and product line specialists have collaborated to provide an update on current trends and market conditions. We invite you to explore their insights by downloading our latest State of the Insurance Market Report.

The contents of this report are for general informational purposes only and Risk Strategies Company makes no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, regarding the accuracy or completeness of any information contained herein. Any recommendations contained herein are intended to provide insight based on currently available information for consideration and should be vetted against applicable legal and business needs before application to a specific client.