State of the Insurance Market Report

2025 Initial Outlook and 2024 Wrap-Up

Healthcare

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Many factors, including changes in healthcare delivery, tort law, litigation environment, the rise of nuclear verdicts, social and economic inflation, and changes in reimbursement from fee-for-service to value-based care are impacting the healthcare industry.

Additionally, patient volumes are down slightly year over year, and operating margins are improving. However, these issues are not across the industry. Generally, larger systems are faring better, while smaller, community-based hospitals face challenges.

We’ve identified several key factors that impacted market conditions for the healthcare industry in the first half of 2024.

Property & Casualty

Market Conditions

  • Mergers and Acquisitions:
    According to Kaufman Hall, a leading healthcare consultant, healthcare mergers and acquisitions remain at a record high, with 31 announced hospital mergers in the first half of 2024. Acquisitions across payer/provider lines have resulted in United Health Group (UHG) subsidiary Optum being the largest single employer of physicians in the U.S. CVS also employs many physicians through its Oak Street subsidiary. Regulators and legislators are increasingly scrutinizing private equity investments in healthcare. Several high-profile cases have received negative publicity, and several members of Congress are pushing for legislative change that would create higher barriers to entry for private equity.
  • Staffing Shortages & Burnout:
    Staffing shortages continue to be a challenge for healthcare organizations, impacting the cost of labor, productivity, and burnout rates. The shortages impact almost all clinical categories but continue to be most prevalent in nursing. During the pandemic, healthcare providers and hospitals turned to pro re nata nurses and travel nurses to maintain staffing levels, which led to a significant increase in labor costs. Shortages also increased stress levels and burnout among employed staff, leading to further strain. Many healthcare organizations are enhancing benefits and rewards. Investments in programs such as subsidized childcare and tuition reimbursement for key clinical staff can improve retention.
  • Cyber Incidents:
    Hospital and health system vendors continue to be targeted in cyberattacks, creating data breaches that ultimately affect healthcare organizations. In 2024, health systems across the U.S. reported that patients' protected health information was compromised due to data breaches at vendors they work with. The most significant cyberattack to date was against UHG’s Change Healthcare in February 2024. As a result of this and other high-profile cases, ransomware attacks have become an enforcement priority for the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS). HHS is emphasizing the importance of safeguarding patient information and ensuring healthcare entities are prepared to protect these records from cyberattacks. Federal regulators recently fined a Pennsylvania-based healthcare system $950,000 and imposed a corrective action plan for potential Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) violations linked to a 2017 ransomware incident. The settlement is the third HIPAA enforcement action by the HHS involving ransomware.
  • Excess Liability/Reinsurance: The excess liability/reinsurance marketplace has changed significantly, with most carriers reducing their capacity. However, the industry has shown remarkable adaptability, increasing the utilization of quota share arrangements and combining U.S. and international markets to build capacity. This adaptability instills confidence in the industry's ability to overcome challenges.
  • Artificial Intelligence: The emergence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) continues to expand in healthcare. As AI-driven cybercrime evolves and regulatory scrutiny surrounding AI practices increases, we expect the insurance market to devise a cohesive approach to address these challenges.

Coverage Considerations

Current trends are expected to persist with all available data indicating the market will continue to harden. The brief respite in claims during the pandemic is over, and we have seen claims frequency and severity resume where they left off. We anticipate incremental premium increases to continue for the foreseeable future to offset the risks of nuclear verdicts. Additionally, some carriers are seeking increases in self-insured retentions, and many are cutting back on capacity. This, in addition to rate increases, is becoming commonplace for many renewals.

  • Professional Liability: While the number of claims has bounced back to pre-COVID-19 numbers and remains stable compared to pre-pandemic numbers, the payout for claims continues to rise. Medical malpractice payouts increase as more nuclear verdicts (+$10M), and thermonuclear verdicts (+$25M) are reached. This is driven primarily by premature births, congenital anomalies, and cancer care. This trend is expected to continue and accelerate, leaving insurance carriers vulnerable to significant losses. If this risk grows, it may change underwriting and make acquiring coverage more difficult.

    As nurse practitioners and physician assistants become more prominent in healthcare, medical malpractice markets seek more appropriate pricing that better aligns with the adapting roles, as we’ve seen in 2024, with significant rate increases for these policies. Similarly, we see an increase in per diem nursing and 1099 contract employees and recommend carefully considering these employees’ coverage options.

  • Property: Healthcare organizations face continued pressure to increase property values due to inflationary pressures, though the percentage increases required by carriers have started to moderate. Hiring an outside appraiser ensures an unbiased property valuation compared to an insurer's assessment. Capacity is limited for catastrophic exposures and risks with a large concentration of frame construction. Carriers continue to seek higher deductibles, especially for wind/hail, due to increased convective storm activity. Organizations may need to layer policies from multiple insurers to secure sufficient coverage.
  • Cyber: Rate increases have recently stabilized, but the Change Healthcare and CrowdStrike incidents could impact future rate increases. For organizations that experience a ransomware incident, whether directly or via a third-party service provider, we recommend notifying insurance carriers of a potential circumstance and looking to policies — primarily cyber, but also directors and officers (D&O) and professional liability — for possible coverage. We also recommend seeking outside counsel to ensure compliance with HHS guidelines.
  • Workers’ Compensation: Workplace shootings and violent attacks continue to be a concern for healthcare organizations. Healthcare workers are five times more likely to sustain workplace violence injuries than employees in other fields. Healthcare workers are in harm's way and, most importantly, workers' compensation policies often have exclusions for injuries suffered through deliberate acts of violence. An incident with an agitated patient coming out of anesthesia may be covered under a workers’ compensation policy. However, a disgruntled patient returning to the clinic armed may not be, leaving additional exposures both financially and for support for the affected parties.
  • Auto: Many carriers are reluctant to offer stand-alone auto coverage for healthcare risks. Most auto carriers will only consider writing coverage with a supporting line of business. There continues to be a minimal appetite for ambulance/patient transport risks in the marketplace.

Recommendations: Property & Casualty

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Start renewals early to allow time for any obstacles or negotiations should unexpected challenges arise and have your broker review market options every few years.

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Develop enhanced benefit systems for providers, standalone coverage for allied healthcare providers, and clearly define coverage options for contract employees.

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Implement robust patient safety/risk management programs and use data analytics to determine what those programs should look like.

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Establish clear governance policies on how AI use will be monitored at a corporate level.
Develop a clearly defined strategy for integrating AI. Before implementing AI, ensure your data infrastructure can support such initiatives. Invest in cloud computing, data analytics, and machine learning tools.

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Develop comprehensive safeguards, including security assessments and implementation of no-tolerance policies to promote a safer workplace for employees.

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Implement IT systems to meet pixel tracking requirements. Be prepared to prove you have proper protocols in place.

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Maintaining a good working relationship with your broker/carriers is critical.
If carriers are unaware of everything you do within your practice, you may have uncovered exposures.

Managed Care and Accident & Health Reinsurance

Market Conditions

While ample capacity exists in the accident and health space, pricing in the market is firm, and terms and conditions are tightening. Underwriters are pricing for future exposures and limiting risk through disclosure and lasering. Factors impacting the insurance and reinsurance market include:

  • Increased Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approvals for cell therapies, gene therapies, and other extremely high-cost specialty drugs, higher than expected medical loss ratios for Medicare Advantage plans, and the continued push towards value-based care.
  • High-cost specialty pharmaceuticals, including cell and gene therapies. Regardless of category, the use of these high-cost drugs translates to increased insurance and reinsurance costs and the potential for the exclusion of members and drugs.
    • Spending on specialty drugs now represents over 50% of total pharmacy spending, even though only 2% to 4% of the population requires a specialty drug.
    • Specialty drugs generally fall into three categories: chronic condition management, acute condition management, and high-cost, one-course cures (i.e., gene therapies).
  • Lack of access to timely and accurate clinical and cost data for underlying populations drastically impacts the ability to effectively direct members to the highest-quality, lowest-cost providers. This results in higher claims costs, higher premiums, and the likelihood that members will be excluded from coverage or coverage will be reduced for failure to disclose or report on a timely basis.

Coverage Considerations

Trends in the insurance and reinsurance space will continue into 2025 and beyond. The FDA is rapidly approving new therapies, and the pipeline of new treatments in clinical trials is substantial.

There has been little success in controlling manufacturer pricing for these therapies, and there is no sign of change. Consider a multi-pronged approach to reinsurance, where extremely high-cost/low-frequency gene therapies are carved out and addressed in a program specific to this exposure.

This approach should translate to pricing stability across your risks and enable you to manage this emerging but volatile exposure.

Recommendations: Managed Care and Accident & Health Reinsurance

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Understand your risk. Invest in tools and partner with vendors that can provide you with a line of sight to the exposures within your underlying population.

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Take advantage of the cost-containment solutions that many insurers/reinsurers make available.

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Ensure there are no hidden exclusions or limitations within the policy's body.

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Understand your obligations under any policy.
Review all disclosure requirements to ensure you have met them. If you are unable to meet them, communicate this.

Rate Forecast

Healthcare Rate Forecast
Management Liability:   Flat to +10%
Managed Care E&O: +10% to +15%
Managed Care, Accident & Health Reinsurance: +8% to +20%
Physician Medical Malpractice: +5% to +20%
Excess Liability: +10% to +15%
Property/Non-CAT Exposures:   Flat/as expiring to +7%
Auto:   Flat to +5%
Workers' Compensation:   Flat to +5%
Primary Professional Liability: +10% to +15%
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The contents of this report are for general informational purposes only and Risk Strategies Company makes no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, regarding the accuracy or completeness of any information contained herein. Any recommendations contained herein are intended to provide insight based on currently available information for consideration and should be vetted against applicable legal and business needs before application to a specific client.